IPTV Global Forecast –2008 to 2012
Semiannual IPTV Global Forecast Report
October 2008
Published by MRG, Inc.
October 2008, 90 pages
Hard Copy Print Edition $3,995.00 USD
PDF Single-Departmental License $5,200.00 USD
PDF Corporate-Wide License Contact Rob Smith for Quote
The report is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service
California orders please add 8.25% sales tax
To order click here or contact Rob Smith at rsmith@mrgco.com
This report is the latest update to the IPTV Global Forecast – 2008 to 2012 published April 2008. It incorporates the most recent information on current IPTV deployments around the world, as well a forecast for IPTV subscribers, service revenue, and system revenue from 2008 to 2012. MRG breaks down the IPTV ecosystem into six markets: Access Systems, Video Headends, Video-on-Demand, Set-top Boxes, Middleware and Content Protection/Digital Rights Management (CP/DRM). In addition, we split up the market into 4 regions around the world: Europe, Asia, North America and Rest of World, as well as the Worldwide market. We have identified 681 companies worldwide deploying IPTV services, which is an increase of 59 IPTV Service Providers over the past 12 months.
MRG is forecasting that the number of global IPTV subscribers will grow from 20.4 million in 2008 to 89.1 million in 2012, a compound annual growth rate of 45%. (See Figure 1-1.) We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 242.7 million in 2008 to 401 million in 2012, a compounded annual growth rate of 13%. These DSL subscribers are the main base for the IPTV subscribers in Figure 1-1.
Figure 1-1: Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast
Source: Copyright © 2008 MRG, Inc.
In terms of service revenue, we forecast that the Global IPTV market is $5.9 billion in 2008 and growing to $29.6 billion in 2012, a compound annual growth rate of 50% (see Figure 1-2). By 2012, Europe and North America will generate a disproportionate share of global revenue, due to very low ARPUs in China and India, the fastest growing (and ultimately, the biggest markets) in Asia.
Figure 1-2: Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast
Source: Copyright © 2008 MRG, Inc.
This report is part of the IPTV Tracking Service published by the Multimedia Research Group, Inc.
1 | Executive Summary |
2 | Global Outlook for IPTV |
2.1 | Europe Continuing to Move Forward |
2.1.1 | France Leads the World |
2.1.2 | Italian Market Shaken by FASTWEB Acquisition |
2.1.3 | Benelux Countries |
2.1.4 | IPTV Gets Traction in the U.K. |
2.1.5 | Germany |
2.1.6 | Other Western European Countries |
2.1.7 | IPTV Progressing in Eastern Europe |
2.1.8 | Momentum in Asia Shifting to China |
2.1.9 | IPTV Will Dominate in Hong Kong |
2.1.10 | Taiwan Continuing to Make Progress |
2.1.11 | Japan's Growth Slowing |
2.1.12 | Korea Moving to Full Broadcast IPTV |
2.1.13 | China: Moving Quickly to Deployments |
2.1.14 | IPTV Still Nascent in India |
2.1.15 | Activities in Other Asian Countries |
2.2 | The Major U.S. Incumbents Pushing IPTV |
2.2.1 | Large U.S. Incumbents are Starting IPTV Activities |
2.2.2 | Canadian Telcos Adopting IPTV |
2.3 | IPTV Emerging in the Rest of the World |
3 | Global IPTV Market Forecast |
3.1 | Methodology |
3.1.1 | DSL Forecast |
3.1.2 | IPTV Subscribers and Revenue |
3.1.3 | Access System Revenue |
3.1.4 | Video Headend System Revenue |
3.1.5 | Video-on-Demand Servers |
3.1.6 | Set-top Box Revenue |
3.1.7 | Middleware Software Revenue |
3.1.8 | Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue |
3.1.9 | System Integration and Professional Services Revenue |
3.2 | Global Forecast Shows Continued Growth |
3.2.1 | Global DSL Forecast Shows Continued Increase |
3.2.2 | IPTV Subscriber Forecast Remains Firm |
3.2.3 | Global System Revenue Forecast |
3.2.4 | Global Access System Revenue Forecast |
3.2.5 | Global Set-top Box Revenue Forecast |
3.2.6 | Global IPTV Headend System Revenue Forecast |
3.2.7 | Global IP Video-on-Demand Revenue Forecast |
3.2.8 | Global IPTV Middleware Software Revenue Forecast |
3.2.9 | Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue Forecast |
3.2.10 | Global IPTV System Integration and Professional Services Revenue Forecast |
3.3 | IPTV Market Forecast for Europe |
3.3.1 | DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
3.3.2 | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
3.3.3 | IPTV System Revenue for Europe |
3.4 | IPTV Market Forecast for Asia |
3.4.1 | DSL Subscriber Forecast for Asia |
3.4.2 | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia |
3.4.3 | IPTV System Revenue for Asia |
3.5 | IPTV Market Forecast for North America |
3.5.1 | DSL Subscribers for North America |
3.5.2 | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America |
3.5.3 | IPTV System Revenue for North America |
3.6 | IPTV Market Forecast for the Rest of the World |
3.6.1 | DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
3.6.2 | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
3.6.3 | IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World |
4 | Opportunities, Risks and Recommendations |
4.1 | Opportunities |
4.2 | Risks |
4.3 | Recommendations |
5 | Index of Companies |
Figure 1-1: | Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast |
Figure 1-2: | Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast |
Figure 1-3: | Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast |
Figure 3-1: | Global DSL Subscriber Forecast |
Figure 3-2: | Global IPTV Subscriber Forecast |
Figure 3-3: | Global IPTV Service Revenue Forecast |
Figure 3-4: | Global IPTV System Revenue Forecast |
Figure 3-5: | Global IPTV Access System Revenue Forecast |
Figure 3-6: | Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Box Revenue |
Figure 3-7: | Global Forecast for IPTV Set-top Boxes by Technology |
Figure 3-8: | Global IPTV Video Headend System Revenue |
Figure 3-9: | Global IPTV Video Headend System Revenue by Technology |
Figure 3-10: | Global IPTV Video-on-Demand Server Revenue |
Figure 3-11: | Global IPTV Middleware Software Revenue Forecast |
Figure 3-12: | Global IPTV Content Protection/Digital Rights Management Software Revenue Forecast |
Figure 3-13: | Global System Integration and Professional Services Revenue |
Figure 3-14: | DSL Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
Figure 3-15: | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Europe |
Figure 3-16: | IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for Europe |
Figure 3-17: | IPTV System Revenue Forecast for Europe |
Figure 3-18: | DSL Subscriber Market for Asia |
Figure 3-19: | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for Asia |
Figure 3-20: | IPTV Subscriber Revenue for Asia |
Figure 3-21: | IPTV System Revenue for Asia |
Figure 3-22: | DSL Subscribers Forecast for North America |
Figure 3-23: | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for North America |
Figure 3-24: | IPTV Subscriber Revenue Forecast for North America |
Figure 3-25: | IPTV System Revenue for North America |
Figure 3-26: | DSL Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
Figure 3-27: | IPTV Subscriber Forecast for the Rest of the World |
Figure 3-28: | IPTV System Revenue for the Rest of the World |
Table of Tables
3PlayPlus | Occam |
OCN Theater Japan | |
Aksh Optifibre | On Telecoms |
Alcatel-Lucent | OnDemandTV |
Aliant | Orange France Telecom |
Amis | OTE |
Apple | |
Arcor | P&T Luembourg |
Astro | Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) |
AT&T | PCCW |
Atlas Interactive | Philippine Long Distance Telephone (PLDT) |
Portugal Telecom | |
BayanTel | |
Belgacom | Qwest |
Bell Canada | |
Bharti Airtel | Radiografica Costraricense SA (RACSA) |
Brasil Telecom | Reliance Communications |
BSNL (Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd.) | Romtelecom |
BT (British Telecom) | |
Sagem | |
CallPlus | SaskTel |
CCTV | Shanghai Media Group (SMG) |
China Censtream Broadband Networks | Shanghai Telecom |
China Netcom | Sharp |
China Telecom | SiOL |
Chunghwa Telecom | SK Broadband/Hanaro Telecom |
Cisco | Smart Telecom |
CTV Telecom | Snap |
Softbank Yahoo | |
Dacom | Sogetel |
Daum | Sonaecom |
Deutsche Tekecom | Sony |
Dreamgallery | SpectrumNet |
Sri Lanka Telecom | |
Ericsson/TANDBERG Television | SureWest |
Espial/Kasenna | Svenska Basboxbolaget |
Swisscom | |
FASTWEB | |
Fourth Media | T-2 |
Free | Tata |
Freeview | Tele2/Versatel |
Telecom Argentina | |
GlobeTel | Telecom Italia |
Gtd. Manquehue | Telefónica |
GVT | Telekom Austria |
Telekom Slovenije | |
Hanaro Telecom | Telenor |
HanseNet | TeliaSonera |
Hitachi | Telmex |
Hong Kong Broadband/Citi Telecom | Telpol |
Telstra | |
Inotel | Telsur |
Internode | TELUS |
IPTV Forum Japan | Teracom |
Thomson | |
Jasmine International | Tiscali |
Jazztel | Toshiba |
TPSA | |
Kansai Electric | TransACT |
KDDI | TRE-FOR |
KPN | TRUE |
KT (Korea Telecom) | Tus Telekom |
TVA | |
LG Dacom | |
Lyse Energi | UNE |
United Telecoms Limited | |
Magnet Networks | UTStarcom |
Malaysia Telecom | |
Matsushita Electric | Verizon |
Maxcom | Versatel |
Microsoft | Vestitel |
Motorola | |
MTNL (Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd.) | Win Multimedia |
MTS Allstream | |
Multimedia Polska | Zhone |
NEC | |
Netgem | |
Neuf Cegetel | |
Nokia Siemens Networks | |
NTT | |
NTT Palala |
IPTV Global Forecast – 2008 to 2012 — October 2008 is 90 pages and is available in a printed English language edition for $3,995.00 USD, a PDF single-departmental license for $5,200.00 USD, and is available free as part of MRG's IPTV Tracking Service. For more information or to order the report, contact Rob Smith at 408-453-5553 or rsmith@mrgco.com.
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